feat: D16 adjudication — 2v2 stays hypothesis until a rule fires. (#35)

temporal_freshness then authority_pairing; unresolved keeps (not confirmed).
bin/facts/audit contradict. Gitea #29.

internal/facts/contradict.go

@@ -0,0 +1,120 @@
+// Package facts is cgo-free evidence rules (D16 contradictions).
+package facts
+
+import "strconv"
+
+const (
+	ConfConfirmed  = "confirmed"
+	ConfHypothesis = "hypothesis"
+
+	RuleUnresolved        = "unresolved"
+	RuleTemporalFreshness = "temporal_freshness"
+	RuleAuthorityPairing  = "authority_pairing"
+	RuleTwoSource         = "two_source"
+	RuleSingleSource      = "single_source"
+
+	KindRuntime   = "runtime"
+	KindConfig    = "config"
+	KindNarrative = "narrative"
+)
+
+// Source is one independent pointer on a yes or no side.
+type Source struct {
+	ID    string `json:"id"`
+	Kind  string `json:"kind"`
+	When  string `json:"when,omitempty"`
+	Stale bool   `json:"stale,omitempty"`
+}
+
+// Claim is one assertion with yes/no evidence lists.
+type Claim struct {
+	Text string   `json:"text"`
+	Yes  []Source `json:"yes"`
+	No   []Source `json:"no"`
+}
+
+// Result is audit output. Confirmed=false means `(not confirmed)`.
+type Result struct {
+	Text       string `json:"text"`
+	Confidence string `json:"confidence"`
+	Confirmed  bool   `json:"confirmed"`
+	Rule       string `json:"rule"`
+	Winner     string `json:"winner,omitempty"`
+	YesN       int    `json:"yes"`
+	NoN        int    `json:"no"`
+}
+
+func independent(ss []Source) int {
+	seen := map[string]struct{}{}
+	for i, s := range ss {
+		id := s.ID
+		if id == "" {
+			id = s.Kind + "#" + strconv.Itoa(i)
+		}
+		seen[id] = struct{}{}
+	}
+	return len(seen)
+}
+
+func freshN(ss []Source) int {
+	n := 0
+	for _, s := range ss {
+		if !s.Stale {
+			n++
+		}
+	}
+	return n
+}
+
+func strongN(ss []Source) int {
+	n := 0
+	for _, s := range ss {
+		if s.Kind == KindRuntime || s.Kind == KindConfig {
+			n++
+		}
+	}
+	return n
+}
+
+func out(c Claim, conf, rule, winner string) Result {
+	return Result{
+		Text:       c.Text,
+		Confidence: conf,
+		Confirmed:  conf == ConfConfirmed,
+		Rule:       rule,
+		Winner:     winner,
+		YesN:       independent(c.Yes),
+		NoN:        independent(c.No),
+	}
+}
+
+// Adjudicate applies D16: ≥2 yes vs ≥2 no stays hypothesis until a rule fires.
+// Order: temporal_freshness, then authority_pairing (A/B beats narrative C).
+func Adjudicate(c Claim) Result {
+	yesN := independent(c.Yes)
+	noN := independent(c.No)
+	if yesN < 2 || noN < 2 {
+		if yesN >= 2 {
+			return out(c, ConfConfirmed, RuleTwoSource, "yes")
+		}
+		if noN >= 2 {
+			return out(c, ConfConfirmed, RuleTwoSource, "no")
+		}
+		return out(c, ConfHypothesis, RuleSingleSource, "")
+	}
+	yf, nf := freshN(c.Yes), freshN(c.No)
+	if yf >= 2 && nf < 2 {
+		return out(c, ConfConfirmed, RuleTemporalFreshness, "yes")
+	}
+	if nf >= 2 && yf < 2 {
+		return out(c, ConfConfirmed, RuleTemporalFreshness, "no")
+	}
+	ys, ns := strongN(c.Yes), strongN(c.No)
+	if ys >= 2 && ns < 2 {
+		return out(c, ConfConfirmed, RuleAuthorityPairing, "yes")
+	}
+	if ns >= 2 && ys < 2 {
+		return out(c, ConfConfirmed, RuleAuthorityPairing, "no")
+	}
+	return out(c, ConfHypothesis, RuleUnresolved, "")
+}

internal/facts/contradict_test.go

@@ -0,0 +1,86 @@
+package facts
+
+import "testing"
+
+func src(id, kind string, stale bool) Source {
+	return Source{ID: id, Kind: kind, Stale: stale}
+}
+
+func TestTwoVsTwoStaysHypothesis(t *testing.T) {
+	c := Claim{
+		Text: "svc listens on 443",
+		Yes: []Source{
+			src("docker-ps", KindRuntime, false),
+			src("compose", KindConfig, false),
+		},
+		No: []Source{
+			src("docker-ps-old", KindRuntime, false),
+			src("compose-old", KindConfig, false),
+		},
+	}
+	r := Adjudicate(c)
+	if r.Confirmed || r.Confidence != ConfHypothesis || r.Rule != RuleUnresolved {
+		t.Fatalf("2v2 must stay (not confirmed): %+v", r)
+	}
+	if r.Winner != "" {
+		t.Fatalf("unresolved must not name a winner: %+v", r)
+	}
+}
+
+func TestTemporalFreshnessResolvesStaleSide(t *testing.T) {
+	c := Claim{
+		Text: "svc listens on 443",
+		Yes: []Source{
+			src("docker-ps", KindRuntime, false),
+			src("compose", KindConfig, false),
+		},
+		No: []Source{
+			src("old-readme", KindNarrative, true),
+			src("old-wiki", KindNarrative, true),
+		},
+	}
+	r := Adjudicate(c)
+	if !r.Confirmed || r.Rule != RuleTemporalFreshness || r.Winner != "yes" {
+		t.Fatalf("fresh yes vs stale no: %+v", r)
+	}
+}
+
+func TestAuthorityPairingBeatsNarrative(t *testing.T) {
+	c := Claim{
+		Text: "svc listens on 443",
+		Yes: []Source{
+			src("docker-ps", KindRuntime, false),
+			src("compose", KindConfig, false),
+		},
+		No: []Source{
+			src("readme", KindNarrative, false),
+			src("wiki", KindNarrative, false),
+		},
+	}
+	r := Adjudicate(c)
+	if !r.Confirmed || r.Rule != RuleAuthorityPairing || r.Winner != "yes" {
+		t.Fatalf("A×B vs C×C: %+v", r)
+	}
+}
+
+func TestTwoSourceYesIsConfirmed(t *testing.T) {
+	c := Claim{
+		Text: "arc-1 runs Matrix",
+		Yes: []Source{
+			src("compose", KindConfig, false),
+			src("docker-ps", KindRuntime, false),
+		},
+	}
+	r := Adjudicate(c)
+	if !r.Confirmed || r.Rule != RuleTwoSource || r.Winner != "yes" {
+		t.Fatalf("%+v", r)
+	}
+}
+
+func TestSingleSourceIsHypothesis(t *testing.T) {
+	c := Claim{Text: "maybe", Yes: []Source{src("readme", KindNarrative, false)}}
+	r := Adjudicate(c)
+	if r.Confirmed || r.Rule != RuleSingleSource {
+		t.Fatalf("%+v", r)
+	}
+}